Spot Market Supply Tight, Alumina Prices Remain High [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary Oct 23]

Published: Oct 23, 2024 09:41
Source: SMM
Overnight, the most-traded SHFE aluminum 2412 contract opened at 20,930 yuan/mt, reaching a high of 21,010 yuan/mt and a low of 20,875 yuan/mt, and closed at 20,915 yuan/mt, up 170 yuan/mt or 0.82% from the previous close.

Overnight, the most-traded SHFE aluminum 2412 contract opened at 20,930 yuan/mt, reaching a high of 21,010 yuan/mt and a low of 20,875 yuan/mt, and closed at 20,915 yuan/mt, up 170 yuan/mt or 0.82% from the previous close. On Tuesday, LME aluminum opened at $2,591.5/mt, hit a high of $2,647.5/mt, a low of $2,588/mt, and closed at $2,637/mt, up $41.5/mt or 1.60%.
Summary: Macro front, domestic policies continue to boost the market, while the situation in the Middle East and between South and North Korea remains uncertain. Fundamentals side, the bauxite supply crisis has driven alumina prices to high levels, significantly increasing costs in the aluminum industry. Overall, the supply-demand mismatch in the aluminum market is not prominent, but the uncertainties on the macro front and cost side may support aluminum prices to fluctuate upward.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Feb 7, 2026 17:24
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
Feb 7, 2026 17:24
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Feb 7, 2026 17:23
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
Feb 7, 2026 17:23
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Feb 7, 2026 17:23
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
Feb 7, 2026 17:23